Friday, August 11, 2006

Peter Bain Forex Trading Commentary for Friday Auguest 11, 2006

Since I will be on holidays until August 22nd, I have asked some Forexmentor members to fill in for me on the AM Reviews. Today's AM Review is by Seth Gregory who is not only the man behind the PM Preview and the Know Where You Live Risk Managment Toolkit but also manages a forex managed fund. Please read his thoughts with care and I will see you when I return. Good luck with your trading.

Forexmentor.com Forex Trading Price Action

Not a whole lot of movement in the EURUSD, however, there were a couple of trades that presented themselves. We commented on one in the AM Review- can you find the other? We also noted why having a good cross currency in you trading portfolio is good when the dollar pairs do not present too much action by showing the price movement on the EURJPY. We also demonstrated how the basic technical tools that you know or are learning could have been used to make a nice trade on the EURJPY. Please take a few minutes to read the article below. May you find peace and rest this weekend my friends.

Dumb Mistakes: Everyone Makes Them

When your money is on the line, you don't ever want to make a trading mistake. There are times when even a minor mistake can cost you big, but mistakes do happen. Have you ever spent a few days mapping out a trading plan, patiently waiting for the right market conditions, and then blowing the whole thing by making a dumb mistake? Perhaps you were distracted and forgot to close the position at your predetermined exit point. Or maybe you walked away from your screen to pick up the kids and came back to see your profits vanish. The possibilities are endless. What do you do? Kick yourself for making the mistake? Well, it's understandable if you do so, but should you waste your time? You may end up feeling even worse and making even more mistakes. What good did feeling bad about a mistake do then? We are all human, and humans make mistakes, and at times, the mistakes are really dumb. Money is lost for no good reason than shear carelessness.

It's tempting to feel extreme guilt or to wallow in self-pity, but it does no good. Ideally, it would be wonderful if we never made a trading mistake. Think about how great it would be if we never made a wrong calculation. If we had a perfect memory or unfailing concentration, we would make few trading errors. Why not try to be thoroughly competent in all we do? We pay a price for trying to achieve superhuman perfection. If we believe that we must be perfect, we will expend all our precious psychological energy mulling over the negative consequences of failing, rather than focusing on what we are doing in the here-and-now to implement our current trading plan. Traders who believe they must be thoroughly competent spend all their time worrying about what they did wrong, what may go wrong, and how they will recover should they fail. These thoughts are distracting and obscure the flow of immediate experience, and the ability to read current market activity with unfailing accuracy. In other words, by kicking yourself for not being perfect, you feel bad about yourself and make even more mistakes.

A more adaptive approach is to realize that it's impossible as a trader to be thoroughly competent, adequate, and achieving all the time. Certainly, you should develop an extremely detailed trading plan and try to account for all adverse events that may go against your plan, but there are limits to what you can do. For your long term enduring success, it is vital that you learn to ease up. You don't have to be perfect. You are bound to make mistakes occasionally, and if you are consumed with avoiding them, you'll be so anxious and fearful that you will make even more mistakes. Besides extreme perfection doesn't always pay off in the trading business. Trading isn't exactly a science. Even when you think a trading plan through carefully, you can't account for every possibility. An unexpected event may ruin your plan and there is nothing you could have done about it, but manage your risk and chalk up it to fate. Sure, you don't want to make too many mistakes, but you can make a few occasionally with little repercussions. Striving for perfectionism is an important ideal to hold, but don't forget that it is just an ideal. You might try to reach for it, but don't beat yourself up when you don't get there. Mistakes happen. Let it go. You'll feel better and take home more profits.--- Innerworth

--Seth Gregory
(filling in for Peter)
forexmentor.com

Thursday, August 10, 2006

Peter Bain Forex Trading Commentary for Thursday August 10, 2006

Since I will be on holidays until August 22nd, I have asked some Forexmentor members to fill in for me on the AM Reviews. Today's AM Review is by Seth Gregory who is not only the man behind the PM Preview and the Know Where You Live Risk Managment Toolkit but also manages a forex managed fund. Please read his thoughts with care and I will see you when I return. Good luck with your trading.

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Forexmentor.com Forex Trading Price Action

There was some nice trading last night. The trade analysis that we did during the PM Preview prior to the London open yielded us some nice pips and was much easier to do then gamble on trading such a big news event as the release of the US Federal Reserve rate announcement (just a reminder there have been two great technical trade setups since the London session AFTER US Federal Reserve announcement). Also, my apologies for the video and audio issues in the last two AM Reviews - it seems that we now have that issue resolved - thank you for your patience. Keep an eye on the inclining triangle on the higher time frames in the EURUSD - key to being a good trader is to start seeing setups in the future.

Seth Gregory
(filling in for Peter)
forexmentor.com

Wednesday, August 09, 2006

Peter Bain Forex Trading Commentary for Wednesday August 9, 2006

Since I will be on holidays until August 22nd, I have asked some Forexmentor members to fill in for me on the AM Reviews. Today's AM Review is by Seth Gregory who is not only the man behind the PM Preview and the Know Where You Live Risk Managment Toolkit but also manages a forex managed fund. Please read his thoughts with care and I will see you when I return. Good luck with your trading.

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Forexmentor.com Forex Trading Price Action

Quite a wicked move on the EURUSD yesterday after the US Fed rate announcement. In the PM Preveiw we suggest that all new and intermediate traders wait for the dust to settle, after such an announcement, until the London session - truly good advice yesterday and every time we have given it. Traders that know me still find it hard to believe I am not glued to the charts and news around such events. The reason that I am not, is that such trades have a low probability associated with them. The AM Review today shows the high probability trade for the previous sessions and how you could have made a HUGE amount of pips without having your heart jump out of your chest or blowing out your account during a news event where, due to volume, the brokers have difficulty executing fills and stops - as many found out the hard way losing considerable sums of money.

Question for technical traders: does your trading judgment ever get clouded by the news and you miss a perfectly good technical trade because of it? If that is the case, what do you suppose a reasonable remedy might be?

Seth Gregory
(filling in for Peter)
forexmentor.com

Tuesday, August 08, 2006

Peter Bain Forex Trading Commentary for Tuesday August 8, 2006

Since I will be on holidays until August 22nd, I have asked some Forexmentor members to fill in for me on the AM Reviews. Today's AM Review is by Seth Gregory who is not only the man behind the PM Preview and the Know Where You Live Risk Managment Toolkit but also manages a forex managed fund. Please read his thoughts with care and I will see you when I return. Good luck with your trading.

Forexmentor.com Forex Trading Price Action

There was little action in the EURUSD last night due the the US Federal Reserve rate annoucment today at 2:15pm ET. I hope all of you were able to get a nice break from trading the dollar pairs- at least that is what I do before a rate announcement. However, in the PM Preivew we have been introducing members to the EURJPY and have made a few comments on it in the AM Review today- it really is a nice pair to trade- verly calm and stable. On the EURUSD pair, we are hoping that the announcment gets us out of the consolidating market we have been in for the last three and a half months- as noted in today's show. Please take a few moments to read the article below, I think it will benefit you.

Hard Work Pays Off

When trading the markets, you can't merely sit back and wait for the profits to roll in. You have to take an active approach to trading. You must search the markets for new opportunities. That can mean looking through stacks of boring reports, scanning through a hundred charts, or working as an amateur specialist to see if any "insiders" can give you an insight as to how a company is doing. If you want to trade the markets profitably these days, you have your work cut out for you. How can you get yourself motivated to persist in such ademanding, challenging field? There are three key strategies that can help you get motivated when you are feeling challenged or beaten down: (1) Cultivate a fighting spirit, (2) set up an alternative reward system, and (3) focus on the process not the prize.

Traders often walk a tightrope between arrogant and unrealistic overconfidence and feelings of incompetence and inadequacy. When we feel beaten down, we have a natural need to lift our spirits. Most people's confidence is severely shaken when frustrated. Their knee-jerk reaction is to feel arrogant overconfidence. They build themselves up to the point where they are unrealistically optimistic. But it is vital to remain realistic, ready to face setbacks head on and unafraid to look at one's limitations. It's better to cultivate a fighting spirit.What is a fighting spirit? When approaching a problem with a fighting spirit, you set a realistic course of action. You look at the reality of your circumstances and take an active problem solving approach to get ahead. One does not arrogantly believe that anything can be accomplished, but optimistically and realistically devises a plan to get ahead, and once a plan is set, a person with a fighting spirit works hard to make a plan come to fruition.

Although profits are an obvious and natural reward for trading efforts, they may not be forthcoming or closely tied to the amount of work we put in. A single-minded focus on profits is likely to impact your mood in adverse ways. Your mood will rise and fall with your profits and losses. Setting up an alternative reward schedule will provide more consistent rewards and will allow you to persist even when faced with a losing streak. Reward yourself after putting in a fair amount of time and effort toward achieving your goals (the end of each day, for example). Buy yourself a nice dinner or do something you find enjoyable. By patting yourself on the back for your efforts, you'll consistently feel satisfied with your performance, and this will keep you feeling optimistic and motivated.

Finally, it is essential to focus on the process, not the prize. Trading is about making money, but the irony is that if you focus on the outcomes of your trades, you'll put excessive pressure on yourself and choke under it. By focusing on intrinsic rewards, you'll feel more comfortable and creative, and trade more profitably in the long run. It may seem counterintuitive, but by focusing on the process of trading, rather than profits, rewarding yourself for effort rather than outcome, and cultivating a fighting spirit, you'll be willing to work hard and make huge profits trading the markets. -- Innerworth

--Seth Gregory
(filling in for Peter)
forexmentor.com