Peter Bain Forex Trading Commentary for Tuesday July 4, 2006
I am still of the opinion that the euro has further to fall, once the long dumb money get out of the way. I say that because the commercial traders are still extremely short, if you look at the most recent COT data (as at Friday past).
What we are experiencing now is a retracement, before price recommences its trek south. These upward moves in this downtrend are tradable, if you know what you are doing. I don't talk about that much, as I find it tough enough to teach newbies one style of trading (read, selling the rallies in a downtrend), as opposed to intermixing another strategy.
Today, we had a nice reversal at the London open, which happens fairly frequently. Today is an M2/M4 day, and M2 is exactly where price headed after the reversal.
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