Wednesday, February 22, 2006

Peter Bain Forex Trading Commentary for Wednesday February 22, 2006

Forexmentor.com Currency Trading Price Action:

The trend is still up on the daily chart for the euro, further bolstered by the commercials' COT sentiment (read, bullish) on the pound. The ~1880 level seems to find support at all chart levels. Certain key times of the day (read, London close, Tokyo open, etc.) continue to offer good swing trades, from a day trading perspective. Of course, position traders will pay more attention to the COT data, which comes out at 3:30 pm ET every Friday at the site I reference in my course. Coming into today's session, price 'knocked for the third time' just shy of the ~1930 level - at M3 (the expected high for the day), read, M1/M3 day. A trendline break, just after the London open, supported by good angle and separation on MACD, facilitated a continuation of the swoon in price, which saw a reversal in the form of a hammer at the S2 pivot support level - just below the expected low (M1).

See today's chart at: http://www.forexmentor.com/campaign/feb2206.html

See sample AM Review at: http://www.forexmentor.com/sampler/feb1706.html

Forexmentor.com Forex Trading News:

Commodity-related currencies like the Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollars are getting a lift from a spike in oil prices - this in response to the turmoil in Nigeria's oil-producing Niger Delta region. Nigerian militants attacked a major tanker terminal, and blew up a pipeline over the weekend, shutting down 20% of the country's oil exports.

European stocks advanced to a 4 year high on Monday, as oil markets gained on the rise in crude prices, and with takeover speculation continuing to buoy the mining sector.

Gold is the benefactor of a surge in oil prices, as speculation abounds that inflation will gather momentum, and erode the value of assets. Gold has been mimicking oil price moves lately.